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Hong
Kong is facing significant challenges arising not from the handover in 1997,
which has gone surprisingly smoothly, but from such factors as the
restructuring of China’s economy due to China joining the WTO; the
bursting of the high tech bubble and the Asian financial crisis; demographic
pressures because of ageing; negative population growth, and immigration
pressures.
Hong Kong is still confident about its future, and it has many advantages
that underpin its ongoing role as a gateway and hub.
These were my key impressions when I visited Hong Kong in March as a guest
of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) Government.
Hong Kong still leads the world in container traffic. It has a very strong
financial services base, and it is safe and free of corruption. Tourism
appeal will be enhanced when Disneyland opens in 2005.
I learned from the Hong Kong Export Credit Insurance Company that business
is up. Tony Miller, Hong Kong’s Permanent Secretary for Financial
Services, gave me an up-beat assessment with his remark that, “You don’t
make money betting against Hong Kong." He asserted that Hong Kong is now
84% a services economy. He sees Hong Kong/Shanghai as similar to New York
City and Chicago. Rather than competing with Shanghai, as is often discussed
these days, he sees Hong Kong as a “New York" and Shanghai as a
“Chicago".
Anthony Burger, Canadian Consul General in Hong Kong, agrees with Tony
Miller’s positive outlook. At the end of the day, Hong Kong will continue
to be a valuable gateway to China, especially for financial services.
However, Hong Kong will have to adjust its price structure to compete.
Burger pointed out that Hong Kong’s challenge is typical of all
city-states in that its relationship with the hinterland is critical.
Historically, the city's prosperity has depended on its relationship with a
weaker hinterland and as the hinterland strengthens, this role is
challenged. Hong Kong does not now benefit optimally from access to South
China. It is widely understood - at least by everyone with whom I spoke -
that the key to Hong Kong’s future prosperity is better integration
within its region.
Currently, Hong Kong is re-branding itself as the hub of the Pearl River
Delta Region. This marks an important attitude shift in Hong Kong, from
“separatist" to “integrationist".
I found that there is both a sophisticated understanding of and significant
focus on social cohesion. This was evident in my meetings with officials
such as Ava Ng, Deputy Director of Planning, who said public response to the
new plan for Victoria Harbour was influential in its development.
Hong Kong is not a democracy in our sense of the word, but public opinion
matters. It is a free and open society and complaints are voiced.
Infrastructure capacity is formidable and plans for new investment are huge.
For example, 25,000 new housing units are built each year.
In Hong Kong, a strong China-Canada connection is evident, not only through
the 200,000 Hong Kong residents with Canadian passports, but in terms of
education and trade links.
My trip was not only filled with learning opportunities, it was made
especially enjoyable thanks to the extraordinary efforts of everyone I met,
from the many public officials to my Hong Kong hosts and those who planned
the logistics. Both my husband, who accompanied me, and I will long treasure
the memories of a very special trip to a fabulous city. And, bonus, great
shopping!
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